تحليل عالمي لاتجاهات معرفة القراءة والرياضيات والعلوم باستخدام نهج السلاسل الزمنية

موسى عمر (1) , عبدالرحمن الشيخي , بلها فايز
(1) قسم علوم الحاسب، كلية الحاسبات و تقنية المعلومات، جامعة أجدابيا ، أجدابيا, ليبيا

الملخص

تُعدّ معرفة القراءة والرياضيات والعلوم أمرًا بالغ الأهمية للتقدم الفردي والمجتمعي. تستكشف هذه الدراسة وتتوقع الاتجاهات العالمية في هذه المهارات الأساسية، مع التركيز بشكل خاص على دول منظمة التعاون الاقتصادي والتنمية. (OECD) باستخدام بيانات من برنامج تقييم الطلاب الدولي (PISA) من عام 2000 إلى عام 2022، تم أجراء تحليل السلاسل الزمنية باستخدام خوارزميات الانحدار التلقائي والمتوسط المتحرك للكشف عن الاتجاهات معرفة القراءة والرياضيات والعلوم. تكشف النتائج الرئيسية عن معدل عالمي مستقر لمعرفة القراءة، مع زيادات متوقعة في المستقبل؛ ومعدل عالمي مستقر لمعرفة الرياضيات، مصحوبًا بتحسينات قصيرة الأجل؛ ومعدل عالمي مستقر لمعرفة العلوم، مما يدل على مكاسب قصيرة الأجل تليها مستويات عالية باستمرار. النتائج تشير أيضًا إلى انخفاض مقلق في معرفة الرياضيات بين دول منظمة التعاون الاقتصادي والتنمية منذ عام 2005. يؤكد هذا الاتجاه المقلق، والذي من المرجح أن يستمر، على الحاجة الملحة إلى استراتيجيات فعالة لتعزيز الكفاءة الرياضية لضمان الاستدامة الاقتصادية في المستقبل.

النص الكامل

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المؤلفون

موسى عمر
[email protected] (اتصال رئيسي)
عبدالرحمن الشيخي
بلها فايز
عمر م., الشيخي ع., & فايز ب. (2025). تحليل عالمي لاتجاهات معرفة القراءة والرياضيات والعلوم باستخدام نهج السلاسل الزمنية. مجلة العلوم البحتة والتطبيقية , 24(3), 200-208. https://doi.org/10.51984/jopas.v24i3.4355
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عمر م., الشيخي ع., & فايز ب. (2025). تحليل عالمي لاتجاهات معرفة القراءة والرياضيات والعلوم باستخدام نهج السلاسل الزمنية. مجلة العلوم البحتة والتطبيقية , 24(3), 200-208. https://doi.org/10.51984/jopas.v24i3.4355

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